In Week 2 of the NFL season I adopted a new method for making my picks against the spread. Since that time I’ve picked just selected games that fit my criteria and I’ve posted a 27-12 record.
Last week I had my first week where I did not go over .500, posting a 2-2 mark behind the Raiders and Texans covering, while the Giants and Jaguars let me down (and embarrassed themselves in the process).
My picks for Week 9:
Miami (+10.5) vs. New England
Miami has been playing pretty well over the last 4 games. New England ran away from terrible Tennessee and Tampa Bay. The Dolphins should at least be able to keep the game close with their run game. The Patriots are middle of the pack when it comes to rushing defense, despite only allowing a combined 82 yards their past two.
Houston (+9) vs. Indianapolis
The Texans have won three straight and have one of the better offenses in the league. Not saying that the Colts will lose, but both the Colts and Saints need to lose at some point right? I see a game closer than 9 points.
Arizona (+3) vs. Chicago
These two teams are quite the enigmas. I’m going to say the Cardinals and Kurt Warner bounce back from last week’s woeful performance and pull it out against the Bears.
Green Bay (-10) vs. Tampa Bay
The Bucs really do have a legitimate shot at going 0-16. There might not be a line big enough for a Tampa Bay opponent to cover this year.
Detroit (+10) vs. Seattle
I’m not going to say anything good about the Lions after their display last week against St. Louis. But I’ve got them against the spread this week.
Dallas (+3) vs. Philadelphia
The Cowboys are rolling lately, and I think they’ll continue to do so. Since Donovan McNabb returned from injury the Eagles had not gotten the offense rolling – until last week against the Giants. But the Cowboys will defend the pass better than the Giants, who allowed a 146.7 QB rating to McNabb last week. And don’t look now, but Tony Romo has stopped turning over the ball at will.
Very odd that I happened to be very high on road teams this week, but maybe Vegas overinflated the lines for home teams this week? I can only hope. While waiting for the results, I would just play casino online games such as Dominoqq to entertain myself. This will help me to sway on the waiting time while waiting for the results.